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Higher prices for witches’ outfits may not cause a riot in the aisles of your local supermarket, but they do contain a lesson. Tariffs (a tax on goods) raise money for the U.S. government (bills fall due in seven to 10 days, Smeaton told me). They also push up inflation across all goods affected, from Superman outfits to fridge-freezers. Cost-of-living effects have a direct read-through to the polls.，更多细节参见搜狗输入法2026
2025年事实上已经是保单大重写之年；而从2026年开始，企业会逐步发现，自己买到的不是一张覆盖一切的AI风险保单，而是一张更窄、更贵、且附带更多前置条件的可承保风险。本文关心的不是保险公司如何用AI提效，而是反过来，AI如何重写保险的经营范式。风险从可分散变成同源聚合，黑箱把成本先推到辩护费用，责任链条在供应链里漂移。保险会从概率生意走向治理生意，定价权会从精算迁移到审计与红队证据链。